Location |
415 miles E of The Northern Leeward Islands |
Wind |
75 mph |
Heading |
WNW at 17 mph |
Pressure |
29.33 |
Coordinates |
56.8W, 18.6N |
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Hurricane Erin’s center was situated close to latitude 18.6 North and longitude 56.8 West at 200 PM AST (1800 UTC). Erin is traveling at around 17 mph (28 km/h) in a west-northwest direction. It is anticipated that this motion will go into the weekend. Over the weekend, the core of Erin is expected to pass close to or slightly north of the northern Leeward Islands, according to the predicted track.
Maximum sustained winds, according to reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft, are close to 75 mph (120 km/h), with greater gusts. Erin is predicted to become a major hurricane over the weekend after strengthening steadily to rapidly over the next two to three days.
Tropical-storm-force winds reach outward up to 115 miles (185 km), mostly to the north of the center, while hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km).
The Hurricane Hunter aircraft inferred a minimum central pressure of 993 mb (29.33 inches).
CHANGES AS A RESULTS OF THIS ADVISORY:
Not at all.
OVERVIEW OF THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS APPLICABLE:
Anguilla and Barbuda, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy, Saba and St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten are all under a Tropical Storm Watch.
A tropical storm watch indicates that, usually within 48 hours, tropical storm conditions could develop inside the watch region.
Interests in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the northern Leeward Islands should keep an eye on Erin’s progress.
Please keep an eye on goods released by your national meteorological office for storm information particular to your location.
The Tropical Cyclone Discussion’s AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC include the main messages for Erin.
RAINFALL: The northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico are predicted to have regions of intense rainfall from Erin’s outer bands tonight through Sunday. It is predicted to rain between two and four inches, with sporadic totals of six inches. In addition to landslides or mudslides, this rainfall may cause flash and urban flooding that is isolated and locally significant.
Please refer to the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, which can be found at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf, for a comprehensive representation of the predicted rainfall and flash flooding related to Erin.
WIND: By early Saturday, the watch area may see tropical storm conditions.
SURF: By this weekend, parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico will be feeling the effects of Erin’s swells, which are expected to move to the western Atlantic the following week. It’s likely that these swells may result in potentially fatal surf and rip current situations. Please refer to the weather forecast office’s goods in your area.
Here is a graphic representation of the risk of rip currents in the United States: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
