Hurricane center says system off Florida coast has 60% chance to develop

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The National Hurricane Center said Friday’s formation of an area of low pressure off the coast of Jacksonville might lead to the next tropical depression or storm of the season.

The system producing showers and thunderstorms was centered approximately 100 miles off the northeast Florida coast, according to the NHC’s 8 a.m. tropical outlook.

A brief tropical or subtropical depression may emerge late tonight or on Saturday as the system moves northward, according to experts, and environmental circumstances are expected to be just somewhat favorable for additional development. On Saturday night or early Sunday, this low is predicted to travel inland over the southeast United States.

Through early Saturday, a vast area of the Florida peninsula might see significant rainfall, whether it materializes or not, followed by coastal areas of the Carolinas.

Later Friday, an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane is expected to examine the system.

It has a 60% chance of developing during the next two days and a 60% chance within the next seven, according to the NHC.

8 a.m. EDT An area of low pressure #92, which is situated roughly 100 miles off the northeast Florida coast, has seen an increase in showers and thunderstorms. As the system moves north, a transient tropical or subtropical depression may develop late tonight or on Saturday. The low ispic.Twitter: https://60sDW662pE.

July 4, 2025, National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic)

It might evolve into Season 3’s Tropical Storm Chantal if it were to become a designated narrative.

A stalled front across the state and the region of low pressure have resulted in a buildup of moisture that could bring many rounds of rain to sections of the state through Friday, according to the Melbourne National Weather Service.

Some small locations in Central Florida received 4 inches of rain on Thursday due to similar precipitation.

Forecasters stated that this is a plausible worst-case scenario that also applies to today’s storms. The fiercest storms are likely to be accompanied by a few wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph.

This is the first system that potentially pose a threat to the United States during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.

Six to ten of the 13 to 19 named storms that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts will turn into hurricanes this year. Of those, three to five would develop into powerful hurricanes with a maximum intensity of Category 3.

June 1–November 30 is hurricane season.

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